Shawn Massey, CCIM, SCLS

Weekly CRE and Retail Articles Round-Up – November 8, 2012

The Debate Continues: Pros and Cons of Urban Intensification

Emerging Trends in Real Estate® Americas

When Retail Won’t Work: Alternative Uses for Converting Former Ghost Malls Back Into Income-Producing Property

U.S. Retail Sales Increase for Third Straight Month

Improving Retail Sales, Together With Other Positive Indicators, Point To Mounting Economic Recovery

Retail Development Picks Up Steam, Defying Low Expectations

Kroger To Take On Wal-Mart

Avison Young adds powerhouse commercial real estate team to …

Hilton Worldwide Has Plans to Open 800 Restaurants in the Next Three Years

Apple American Group Grows Again, Solidifying its Position as Largest Casual Dining Franchise

Guess What’s Replacing Stores in Your Local Mall?

Orvis signs 10-year lease to open Memphis store at Laurelwood

Memphis Business Journal by Andy Ashby, Staff writer

Losing And Not Losing Option Rights – What’s The Scoop?

If you don’t have a copy already, right or wrong, ULI’s Emerging Trends in Real Estate report is a must read every year for anyone in the industry.

Retail Survival of the Fittest: Adapt or Die, and Fight for Tax Equality

Brokers Are From Mars and Managers Are From Venus

Retail Development Picks Up Steam, Defying Low Expectations

Potential International Paper incentives in Memphis draw backlash

What Makes an Entrepreneur?

Are Traditional Grocers in Trouble? Three Innovative Chains Say Yes

Good to Be Green

New Study Predicts Increasingly Mobile Workforce

Commercial Real Estate Week in Review

Seminar Underscores Commercial Sectors’ Highs, Lows



HSN profit falls 27% in Q3

OCTOBER 31, 2012 St. Petersburg, Fla. — Multichannel retailer HSN Inc. reported Wednesday that net income for the third quarter dropped 27.2% to $17.7 million, from $24.3 million in the year-ago period. Results still beat Wall Street projections.

Revenue rose 7.1% to $778.8 million, beating analysts’ estimated $747.1 million in revenue. The company has now seen profit fall in two consecutive quarters, but it has beaten Wall Street estimates for three quarters in a row.

Consumer confidence rose to highest level in five years

OCTOBER 29, 2012 Detroit — According to Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan on Monday, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose to 82.6 in October, the highest level since September 2007.

The Michigan index of consumer expectations six months from now, which more closely projects the direction of consumer spending, rose to 79 from 73.5 in September. The gauge of current conditions climbed to 88.1 from 85.7 a month ago.

U.S. Personal Spending Rose 0.8% in September

OCTOBER 29, 2012 WASHINGTON—U.S. consumer spending rose last month to its highest level since February, while Americans saved at the weakest pace in nearly a year.

Personal-consumption expenditures—which measure purchases ranging from goods like cars, clothes and food to services such as health care and travel—increased 0.8% in September compared with the prior month, the Commerce Department said Monday. Meanwhile, personal income rose 0.4%.

Federal Reserve sticks with stimulus

OCTOBER 24, 2012 NEW YORK — The Federal Reserve made no major policy changes Wednesday, deciding to stick to its plan of stimulating the economy through large bond-buying programs.

In an official statement, the Fed said it forecasts the economy will remain weak enough to warrant “exceptionally low” interest rates until mid-2015.

Department Stores

Department stores strong in October, led by Nordstrom

November 1, 2012 NEW YORK — As the holidays approach and retailers are still recovering from Hurricane Sandy, October same-store sales results showcased consistent strength in the department store category.

Nordstrom led the pack with a 9.8% rise in same-store sales for the month, and Macy’s Inc. had a solid showing as well.

Stein Mart ramps up store count with seven new and improved sites

OCTOBER 25, 2012, Jacksonville, Fla. — Stein Mart is expanding in existing markets this fall with the opening of seven new and relocated units.

The new stores will open in: Surprise, Ariz.; Katy, Texas; Tucson, Ariz.; and Charlottesville, Va. The relocations are in: McAllen, Texas; Biloxi, Miss.; and San Dimas, Calif.Together, these seven sites bring Stein Mart’s total store count to 263 by yearend.

Discount Stores

October comps up 2.4% at Target

November 1, 2012 A 2.4% same-store sales increase during October was toward the low end of Target’s expectations, but it wasn’t enough to prevent the company from achieving its guidance for the third quarter.

Target reported that its net retail sales for the four weeks ended Oct. 27 were nearly $5 billion, a 3% increase from $4.8 billion reported during October 2011. The 2.4% comp increase was on top of a prior year gain of 3.3%.

Kmart on Blanding Boulevard to close early next year

OCTOBER 29, 2012 Another Jacksonville Kmart will be closing. The company has announced that the store at 4645 Blanding Blvd. will shut its doors in late January.

That means 83 employees will be laid off. Those who are eligible will receive severance packages and be able to apply for open positions at other Kmart and Sears stores, a spokesman said.

Wal-Mart slows China store openings to 100 over three years

OCTOBER 26, 2012 Beijing — Wal-Mart Stores Inc. said Friday that it plans to open 100 stores in China by 2015, a slowed pace from prior growth rates in the country but still representing ongoing interest in boosting its market share behind the country’s No. 1 player Sun Art Retail Group.

Wal-Mart, which operates 378 stores in China, had been opening 50 to 60 new stores each year in the region. The retailer had suggested in August that the slowdown would occur, telling the Wall Street Journal that a more moderate pace would allow improvements in site selection and store design as well as optimized shopping experiences.

Grocery Stores

Harris Teeter Posts Q4 Gains
Nov. 1, 2012, MATTHEWS, N.C. —
Harris Teeter Supermarkets here said Thursday that comparable-store sales were up 3.01% in the fourth quarter and 3.97% for the full fiscal year.

The company said net income in the 13-week fourth quarter, which ended Oct. 12, totaled $22.8 million, vs. a loss of $8.9 million in the year-ago period, which included losses from discontinued operations (the American & Efird thread division, which was sold last November) totaling $33.5 million. Operating profit for the fourth quarter was $39.7 million, comprised of Harris Teeter operating profit of $42.1 million (or $49.6 million — 4.34% of sales — without incremental costs from the acquisition of 10 Lowes Foods Stores locations earlier this year) and corporate operating losses of $2.4 million. That compares with operating profit of $43 million for the fourth quarter of a year ago, comprised of Harris Teeter operating profit of $45 million (4.09% of sales) and corporate operating losses of $2 million.

Publix’ Q3 Sales, Earnings Grow
Nov. 1, 2012, LAKELAND, Fla. —
Publix Super Markets on Thursday said that sales and earnings grew in the third quarter despite a weak economy.

The chain said sales improved 4.4% to $6.7 billion, while comparable-store sales improved by 2.5%. Net earnings totaled $368.4 million, an increase of 18.1% from the same period last year.Publix’ sales for the first nine months of 2012 were $20.5 billion, a 3.9% increase. Comparable-store sales for the year are up by 2.6%. Publix said its stock value was raised to $22.50 a share from $22 effective Thursday. Publix stock is held by its employees and directors only.

Home Improvement & Office Products

Home Depot, U.S. Home Systems close merger transaction

OCTOBER 29, 2012 Home Depot and U.S. Home Systems have announced the completion of the merger of USHS with an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Home Depot. The merger was approved by the stockholders of USHS at a special meeting held on Oct. 26. As a result, USHS became an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Home Depot.

Irving, Texas-based USHS is currently an exclusive provider of kitchen and bath refacing products and services, as well as closet and garage organizational systems to Home Depot.


Papa John’s raises 2012 profit, sales guidance

November 1, 2012 Citing growth in third-quarter profit, revenue and same-store sales, Papa John’s International Inc. raised its guidance for 2012 earnings and sales trends, even as officials warned that commodity inflation and a competitive pizza segment would intensify.

Louisville, Ky.-based Papa John’s now believes its annual earnings per share should rise to a range between $2.53 and $2.63, reflecting new same-store sales growth projections of between 3 percent and 4 percent in North America and between 6 percent and 7 percent for its international system. A year earlier, Papa John’s reported earnings per share of $2.20.

Burger King profit falls 83%, sales remain positive

OCTOBER 29, 2012 Burger King Worldwide Inc. said Monday its 83-percent drop in third-quarter net income reflected the company’s transition to a heavier franchised business, not sales softness, as ongoing menu and marketing initiatives continued to drive customer traffic and check averages.

Steve Wiborg, president of Burger King North America, said many of the menu items introduced in April’s menu overhaul, including sandwich wraps, soft-serve ice cream and salads, continued to sell well, as did the more premium limited-time barbecue and chicken offerings that ran during the summer.

Red Robin: Transformation efforts take hold in 3Q

OCTOBER 29, 2012 Red Robin Gourmet Burgers on Monday reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, saying ongoing brand transformation efforts gaining traction.

For the quarter ended Sept. 30, Red Robin reported net income of $3.5 million, or 24 cents per share, compared with $2.1 million, or 14 cents per share, a year ago — a 70-percent increase. However, adjusting for severance and executive transition expenses of $3.7 million last year, earnings per share were about flat at 24 cents.

Dollar Stores, Warehouse Club & Other Retailers

Costco October sales up 9%

November 1, 2012 ISSAQUAH, Wash. — Costco’s sales for October rose 9% to $7.67 billion from $7.01 billion during the similar period last year.

Total comps for the month increased 7%, consisting of a 7% increase in the United States, and a 9% increase internationally. Excluding the impact of fuel, U.S., international and total same-store sales increased by 5% each. For the first nine weeks of its reporting period ended Oct. 28, the company reported net sales of $16.98 billion, an increase of 9% from $15.62 billion during the similar period last year. Total same-store sales for the period were up 7%, excluding fuel, the increase was 5%.

Sales up at Burlington Coat Factory in Q3

November 1, 2012 BURLINGTON, N.J. — Burlington Coat Factory Warehouse reported that net sales for the third quarter ended Oct. 27 were $967.8 million compared with $898.7 million for the comparative period ended Oct. 29, 2011, a 7.7% increase. Comparative-store sales increased 2.1% for the quarter.

Tom Kingsbury, CEO, stated, “I am pleased with our 7.7% total sales increase and 2.1% comparative-store sales increase for the quarter. We continue to be very pleased with our inventory management which once again has resulted in reduced comparative store inventories, faster inventory turns and reduced aged goods. In addition, as we move into the all important fourth quarter we are excited about our liquidity and the level of fresh receipts that we are planning on delivering to our customers.”

MAA sees increase in net income

Jim Young, CEO of Realcomm, sat down for an exclusive interview discussing the intersection of technology and CRE after presenting at the Atlanta CoreNet Global Summit

J.C. Penney still trying to be one of the cool kids

Shoe Leather Data Collection Deal Tracking And Controlling Your Market.

Must We Use Shall? Will We Hear A Death Knell?

On the attack: Memphis, Shelby County baring fangs to keep, add jobs

Cato October Same-store Sales Flat

Architecture index up again in September

How Much Do Cell Towers Make? How Much Rent Should You Receive,0,222086.story

Athletes buy restaurant franchises to build financial futures

Owners find retail rehabs good bet


Terranomics Retail   Newsline
Week Ending   November 4, 2012

I am going to be   skipping my commentary this week, other than to say, let’s all just hope that   tomorrow’s elections do not turn into a repeat of the 2000 elections.   Political hyperbole aside, this year’s match is looking extremely close and   there is a real possibility of any number of scenarios taking place that will   result in a contested election. Whether this would be in the form of a   popular vote winner not taking the electoral college or disputed results from   swing states, the fact is that a contested election might be just about the   worst thing that could happen tomorrow. Actually, that was one of the themes   that emerged at a recent NAIOP Conference on Development that I attended in   Washington, DC. Here is a link to a speech given by Dr. Larry   Sabato, the head of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. This guy has a 99% accuracy   rate in calling congressional elections and his insights (though recorded two   weeks ago) are still salient for all of you political junkies out there. By   the way, for those of you concerned about bias, he has been named one of the   top prognosticators by BOTH Fox News and MSNBC—which makes the predictions he just made this morning quite salient   and noteworthy, though one side might not like him quite as much   tomorrow if he is right.

That being said, I am keeping it brief because I am under the gun with some   deadlines. We will be releasing our National Retail Investment Report for   Fall 2012 later this week and I have a few other major forecasts coming up   that I will be sharing with the group as well. Don’t worry, if you are on   this list, you will get a notice when these reports are released. Have a good   week and be sure to do your civic duty and vote tomorrow.

– Garrick H. Brown

Garrick Brown
Research   Director, Terranomics
Terranomics Top Five

US economy adds 171,000 jobs in October
Pittsburgh Business Times 11.02

Retailers Report an Upbeat October
New York Times 11.01

Retailers   hit hard by superstorm, economy expected to rebound
Retailing Today 10.31

Wells Fargo projects 3.8 percent rise in holiday sales
Tampa Bay Business Journal 10.30

Consumer   confidence rose to highest level in five years
Chain Store Age 10.29

The Big PictureShopperTrak   names 10 busiest shopping days of coming holiday season
Chain Store Age   11.02

Exclusive:   Impact of Hurricane Sandy on Retail Supply Chains
Chain Store Age   11.02

Concerns   about the robust level of outlet center development grow
ICSC Smartbrief   11.02

Kronos   Retail Labor Index reaches highest level since August 2008
Chain Store   Age 11.01

Exclusive   CSA Series: Small retailer, big plans
Chain Store   Age 11.01

Department   stores strong in October, led by Nordstrom
Chain Store   Age 11.01

Restaurant   operators upbeat in September despite soft sales, traffic
Restaurant News   11.01

Outlet   Center Developers Aim to Outduel Rivals To Land Brand-Name Tenants
Costar 10.31

Retailer Roundup

Francois Nars Plans Retail Expansion to Top US Cities   Including Chicago
Haute Living 11.01

Apple to open 30-35 stores in 2013 as part of retail   expansion
Detroit News   10.31

  Valero plans to   spin off Corner Store chain
San Antonio Business Journal 10.30

Grocery   Grab BagNCR   to install 10,000 self-checkouts in Walmart stores
Chain Store   Age 11.01

Supervalu Buyout Talk Heats Up
Supermarket News 10.30

Chester’s Adds Five New   C-store Locations
Convenience   Store News 10.29

Fresh & Easy Future Questioned
Supermarket   News 10.29

The   Restaurant ReviewPizza   Inn expands in Arkansas|
Pizza   Marketplace 11.02

Sam Fox’s next   Phoenix restaurant takes a redevelopment spin
Phoenix Business Journal 11.01

Regional News and Development NotesM&A Mania7-Eleven   closes deal to purchase 163 Tetco stores
Chain Store Age 11.02

Lids   to acquire retail stores from Fanatics
Chain Store   Age 11.01

IIC-Intersport   acquires 100% of The Athlete’s Foot
Chain Store   Age 10.31

Home   Depot, U.S. Home Systems close merger transaction
Retailing Today 10.29

REIT/Investment Outlook

Murphy Oil C-store   Spinoff Confirmed for 2013
Convenience Store News 11.01

The Canadians Are Coming
Costar 10.31 Franchisors Have to Care about their   Franchisee’s Due Diligence

Inbound Marketing Explained

Factory outlet sell-off suggests market oversupply

Proposal weighs registry of Memphis properties, foreclosed homes

Revitalizing a Dead Mall (Don’t Expect Shoppers)

CRE After the Election: Getting Beyond Uncertainty

How Does Obama’s Second-Term Win Affect CRE?

Memphis’s Nineteenth Century Club building to be auctioned

Business reacts: ‘Business will go on,’ CRE guru Wilkinson says

Top 10 Commercial Real Estate Trends in 2013

Cell Tower Development – How Are Cell Tower Locations Selected?

“It’s All About Relationships In Commercial Real Estate.” That’s Bullshit!

19 Factors Affecting Value In Commercial Real Estate:Guest Post From Jim Baker CCIM

Wall Street’s strategy may shift with Obama’s re-election

Planet Fitness Attracts Private Equity Interest

 I hope you will check out future weekly commentary at   If you enjoy the commentary please subscribe online.



Shawn Massey, CCIM, SCLS is a partner with The Shopping Center Group a 3rd party retail real estate advisory firm in their Memphis office, an adjunct professor in the graduate real estate program at The University of Memphis and a co-founder and Chairman of the Board for the Memphis Business Academy charter schools (K-12th grade) in the Frayser area of Memphis.  

For all your retail real estate needs (tenant representation, landlord representation and property, investment & land sales) I hope that you will choose The Shopping Center Group and me to represent you and your business.  We understand that representation is a privilege and that you have a choice!

The opinions expressed in this post are entirely my own.  They should not be considered the opinion of The Shopping Center Group, LLC in which I am associated.

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